Is a 1993 and 1998-type debt crisis coming? For those of us who lived through the previous debt crisis see some critical similarities to today's conditions: shrinking risk spreads; increased leverage, especially in emerging countries and China; potential dramatic political mayhem; an increase of concern about the level of debt. In previous cases, the key to the crisis was a global turn towards risk avoidance. So far, this has not been onerous. But the risk is certrainly there.
A longstanding problem for hedge funds has been the limited number of companies that have sufficient amount of publicly traded stock to accommodate the appetite of hedge funds with billions of dollars to invest. The result is "herding" where many large hedge funds end up with similar positions: i.e., a concentration of assets in a small number of stocks. Additionally, these stocks make up a significant component of the S&P 500 which causes the heavily exposed hedge funds to show performance that mimics the S&P 500 as well as each other.
Facebook stock decline hits hedge funds hard
Hedge fund titan, Steve Cohen, known as the ultimate "stock picker," i.d. make trades based on fundamental analysis, is predicting that quantitative models using massive databases, will dominate trading, as well as other sectors.https://www.wsj.com/articles/models-will-run-the-world-1534716720
SEC continues to reject Bitcoin ETF proposals because the proposals are not consistent with the Exchange Act Section 6(b)(5) and its requirement that a national securities exchange's rules "be designed to prevent fraudulent and manipulative acts and practices."
Three trends portend a possible bubble collapse in the debt market. First, the extension of credit has become more lax; Second, the Fed has stopped providing liquidity under quantitative easing; third, Low asset returns has caused investors to overpay for risky assets.
Robo-advisors are set to replace financial advisors in the same way that online banking is replacing bank tellers. This rapidly growing service offers many of the functions of a financial advisor, but at a fraction of the cost. By one estimate, robo-advisors will have $2.2 trillion in assets under management by 2020.
About Ezra Zask
Ezra Zask has spent over 30 years in the finance and investment areas, providing research and consulting to investors and investment management companies. He has founded and managed a hedge fund, fund of funds and investment advisory firms, ans held senior positions in hedge funds and investment advisory firms. He has taught at Princeton and Yale graduate schools and written extensively including a best-selling book, All About Hedge Funds, Second Edition (McGraw Hill: 2013)